Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
UMBC (22-29) | 0 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.5 | 25% | ✔ | |
FGCU (32-21) | 5 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -4.5 | 75% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Maine (20-34) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 3 | +3.0 | 33% | ✔ | |
Hartford (26-31) | 5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -3.0 | 67% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Kingston, RI (Bill Beck Field) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Albany (20-28) | 1 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 2 | +2.5 | 35% | ✘ | |
UMass-Lowell (25-29) | 0 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.5 | 65% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Kingston, RI (Bill Beck Field) | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Albany (20-28) | 2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 2 | +2.5 | 35% | ✔ | |
UMass-Lowell (25-29) | 3 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.5 | 65% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 75%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 75%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.